Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

You know that once-mythical soft landing thing that Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee referenced in his recent interview with Marketplace? It’s the thing where inflation is tamed but ...

Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

Humans have been fortune-telling for at least six thousand years — there’s tarot cards, palm reading and the bond market. A 10-year bond theoretically locks up your money for 10 years in exchange for ...

When it comes to economic forecasts, the U.S. Treasury yield curve is a go-to gauge for many seasoned investors. And for good reason: An inverted yield curve has accurately foreshadowed all 10 ...

An inverted yield curve, historically a precursor to economic downturns, suggests short-term borrowing costs for banks could soon outpace returns from long-term loans, squeezing profit margins, writes ...

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There is much talk these days about the yield curve, and what its shape can tell us about the future of markets. I will not review the analytics of the curve because it is exhaustively covered in the ...